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Red282
2022120.1
3792129.0
1732153.8
Blue302
1329115.2
2451168.1
1658149.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783120200400600800282302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.813.1
101.8114.9
Auto24.9
Teleop110.9
End16.7
blue by 14.4
168.112.3
108.7121.0
Auto21.2
Teleop130.5
End20.4
Second
3792
#24
129.017.3
62.579.9
Auto15.9
Teleop101.4
End13.6
blue by 20.9
1658
#15
149.914.5
88.5103.0
Auto20.2
Teleop105.5
End27.3
Third
2022
#39
120.115.0
83.298.2
Auto15.5
Teleop93.7
End10.8
red by 4.9
1329
#37
115.215.8
76.191.9
Auto16.3
Teleop88.3
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed