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Qual 62018 St. Louis Regional
Red51
4187110.4
2707108.4
3692109.4
Blue255
4931120.7
7117114.7
1706147.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265281010020040050060051255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4187
#46
110.415.6
78.0→93.6
Auto16.3
Teleop79.7
End18.3
blue by 36.8
1706
#4
147.114.6
87.1→101.8
Auto20.7
Teleop113.1
End12.4
Second
3692
#36
109.416.6
69.4→86.0
Auto15.6
Teleop81.5
End16.6
blue by 11.3
4931
#31
120.716.6
69.5→86.1
Auto13.1
Teleop93.5
End18.2
Third
2707
#48
108.417.9
57.3→75.3
Auto11.6
Teleop83.5
End12.3
blue by 6.4
7117
#9
114.737.0
114.7→77.7
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed