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Red324
3397163.4
931124.4
1444134.7
Blue285
2783130.4
6391128.7
3692109.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162430100200400500324285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.43.1
144.6147.7
Auto17.8
Teleop119.3
End30.2
red by 32.9
2783
#19
130.42.1
115.0117.1
Auto15.2
Teleop101.6
End13.5
Second
1444
#10
134.79.8
90.7100.5
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2
red by 6.0
6391
#26
128.711.7
82.293.9
Auto14.6
Teleop102.9
End13.3
Third
931
#22
124.47.4
100.1107.5
Auto14.4
Teleop97.8
End16.7
red by 15.0
3692
#36
109.42.4
93.595.9
Auto15.6
Teleop81.5
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed