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Qual 182018 St. Louis Regional
Red250
5176115.2
2451168.1
3197142.5
Blue252
5326107.9
6660111.8
1658149.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316244100200400500250252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#3
168.17.7
129.9→137.5
Auto21.2
Teleop130.5
End20.4
red by 18.2
1658
#15
149.97.3
113.3→120.6
Auto20.2
Teleop105.5
End27.3
Second
3197
#6Sur
142.54.2
105.9→110.1
Auto20.7
Teleop104.9
End21.1
red by 30.7
6660
#38Sur
111.88.0
83.7→91.7
Auto12.8
Teleop88.5
End11.6
Third
5176
#40
115.25.9
101.2→107.1
Auto16.2
Teleop90.9
End7.5
red by 7.4
5326
#45
107.95.0
97.1→102.1
Auto16.6
Teleop82.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed