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Red119
4232114.1
1732153.8
1094117.8
Blue245
2707108.4
2481176.4
506098.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288272150200250350400450119245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.86.8
122.9129.6
Auto24.9
Teleop110.9
End16.7
blue by 22.7
176.46.0
147.8153.7
Auto22.5
Teleop136.2
End20.5
Second
1094
#27
117.86.4
110.0116.4
Auto20.0
Teleop86.5
End11.5
red by 9.4
2707
#48
108.47.6
83.791.3
Auto11.6
Teleop83.5
End12.3
Third
4232
#43
114.16.9
93.9100.7
Auto15.7
Teleop87.3
End11.6
red by 16.1
5060
#41
98.05.5
89.995.4
Auto13.3
Teleop81.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed