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Qual 212018 St. Louis Regional
Red251
4356116.6
2978122.2
3330124.1
Blue246
1444134.7
1288113.9
4256125.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2392970100200400500251246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3330
#16
124.16.4
97.3→103.7
Auto14.6
Teleop95.3
End17.0
blue by 10.5
1444
#10
134.77.6
100.5→108.1
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2
Second
2978
#20
122.28.6
95.2→103.8
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7
blue by 3.1
4256
#35
125.39.2
108.1→117.3
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
Third
4356
#25
116.63.0
97.6→100.6
Auto18.5
Teleop91.3
End10.3
red by 2.7
1288
#33
113.95.7
108.6→114.3
Auto14.1
Teleop90.1
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed