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Qual 222018 St. Louis Regional
Red286
7255105.9
3814132.7
4143148.7
Blue88
5147115.2
4187110.4
4246112.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30823710020040050028688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#14
148.72.2
131.8→134.0
Auto20.9
Teleop111.7
End15.7
red by 33.5
5147
#21
115.23.6
95.7→99.3
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End24.3
Second
3814
#13
132.77.1
110.0→117.1
Auto17.8
Teleop100.9
End14.6
red by 20.1
4246
#34
112.54.0
100.2→104.2
Auto13.0
Teleop83.2
End17.2
Third
7255
#28
105.95.2
89.4→94.6
Auto15.9
Teleop81.4
End9.6
blue by 4.5
4187
#46
110.44.7
100.5→105.2
Auto16.3
Teleop79.7
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed