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Qual 262018 St. Louis Regional
Red348
4356116.6
2451168.1
2783130.4
Blue266
1732153.8
3397163.4
5147115.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291302100150200250350400450500348266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#3
168.14.7
137.5→142.3
Auto21.2
Teleop130.5
End20.4
red by 4.7
3397
#5
163.42.6
147.7→150.3
Auto17.8
Teleop119.3
End30.2
Second
2783
#19
130.41.9
117.1→119.0
Auto15.2
Teleop101.6
End13.5
blue by 23.3
1732
#7
153.82.2
129.6→131.8
Auto24.9
Teleop110.9
End16.7
Third
4356
#25
116.62.9
100.6→103.5
Auto18.5
Teleop91.3
End10.3
red by 1.4
5147
#21
115.21.0
99.3→100.3
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End24.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned