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Red203
5326107.9
4329135.7
2707108.4
Blue502
3197142.5
7255105.9
4256125.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256259300350400450203502

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#30
135.74.0
114.7118.6
Auto15.3
Teleop102.5
End19.7
blue by 6.8
142.52.4
110.1112.6
Auto20.7
Teleop104.9
End21.1
Second
2707
#48
108.45.0
91.396.3
Auto11.6
Teleop83.5
End12.3
blue by 17.0
4256
#35
125.35.3
117.3122.6
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
Third
5326
#45
107.93.6
102.1105.7
Auto16.6
Teleop82.9
End8.6
red by 2.0
7255
#28
105.93.7
94.698.3
Auto15.9
Teleop81.4
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed