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Red229
1444134.7
1329115.2
3284148.0
Blue282
5836116.8
1094117.8
4143148.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288267100150200350400450500229282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#11
148.06.9
128.5135.4
Auto17.4
Teleop113.3
End20.9
blue by 0.7
4143
#14
148.71.8
134.0135.8
Auto20.9
Teleop111.7
End15.7
Second
1444
#10
134.74.2
108.1112.4
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2
red by 16.9
1094
#27
117.82.0
116.4118.4
Auto20.0
Teleop86.5
End11.5
Third
1329
#37
115.21.2
109.4110.6
Auto16.3
Teleop88.3
End11.1
blue by 1.6
5836
#17
116.84.1
89.893.9
Auto13.5
Teleop89.3
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed