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Red286
5583102.2
4600114.9
6391128.7
Blue306
1178154.9
4232114.1
2978122.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263261150200300350400286306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6391
#26
128.78.4
102.2110.6
Auto14.6
Teleop102.9
End13.3
blue by 26.2
154.96.8
110.0116.8
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End26.7
Second
4600
#44
114.95.5
107.0112.4
Auto12.5
Teleop93.6
End9.9
blue by 7.3
2978
#20
122.26.6
103.8110.5
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7
Third
5583
#49
102.22.1
98.4100.5
Auto14.6
Teleop78.6
End5.9
blue by 11.9
4232
#43
114.12.5
100.7103.2
Auto15.7
Teleop87.3
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed