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Red274
2481176.4
4500120.9
7117114.7
Blue252
3814132.7
1658149.9
1706147.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282285150200250300350400274252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.43.8
153.7157.5
Auto22.5
Teleop136.2
End20.5
red by 26.5
1658
#15
149.95.3
120.6125.9
Auto20.2
Teleop105.5
End27.3
Second
4500
#29
120.90.7
123.0123.7
Auto16.0
Teleop94.2
End7.5
blue by 26.3
147.16.1
115.5121.6
Auto20.7
Teleop113.1
End12.4
Third
114.72.6
94.496.9
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
blue by 18.0
3814
#13
132.75.1
117.1122.2
Auto17.8
Teleop100.9
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed