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Qual 342018 St. Louis Regional
Red265
1706147.1
1178154.9
1329115.2
Blue307
3397163.4
1288113.9
3197142.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290314100150200250350400450500265307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1178
#2
154.96.7
116.8→123.5
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End26.7
blue by 8.5
3397
#5
163.42.4
150.3→152.7
Auto17.8
Teleop119.3
End30.2
Second
1706
#4
147.14.7
121.6→126.3
Auto20.7
Teleop113.1
End12.4
red by 4.6
3197
#6
142.53.9
112.6→116.5
Auto20.7
Teleop104.9
End21.1
Third
1329
#37
115.20.1
110.6→110.6
Auto16.3
Teleop88.3
End11.1
red by 1.3
1288
#33
113.91.7
117.3→115.6
Auto14.1
Teleop90.1
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed