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Qual 352018 St. Louis Regional
Red106
4500120.9
4600114.9
4232114.1
Blue271
4246112.5
1444134.7
7117114.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284229100200400500106271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#29
120.90.7
123.7→123.0
Auto16.0
Teleop94.2
End7.5
blue by 13.8
1444
#10
134.72.0
112.4→114.3
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2
Second
4600
#44
114.94.1
112.4→116.5
Auto12.5
Teleop93.6
End9.9
red by 0.2
7117
#9
114.70.6
96.9→97.5
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
Third
4232
#43
114.13.8
103.2→107.0
Auto15.7
Teleop87.3
End11.6
red by 1.6
4246
#34
112.51.7
105.4→107.1
Auto13.0
Teleop83.2
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed