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Red243
1625154.7
4256125.3
5147115.2
Blue387
2481176.4
3792129.0
5836116.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252307100200400500243387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#12
154.76.2
123.5129.6
Auto23.2
Teleop116.9
End17.2
blue by 21.7
176.41.5
157.5159.0
Auto22.5
Teleop136.2
End20.5
Second
4256
#35
125.35.9
122.6128.5
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
blue by 3.6
3792
#24
129.09.4
107.5116.8
Auto15.9
Teleop101.4
End13.6
Third
5147
#21
115.21.6
100.3101.9
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End24.3
blue by 1.6
5836
#17
116.82.8
93.996.7
Auto13.5
Teleop89.3
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed