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Red250
4330117.6
4356116.6
6744126.2
Blue348
2451168.1
5326107.9
4931120.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221321100400500250348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6744
#23
126.24.4
108.1112.5
Auto16.8
Teleop94.3
End13.4
blue by 41.9
168.14.1
142.3146.4
Auto21.2
Teleop130.5
End20.4
Second
4330
#42
117.62.9
107.3110.2
Auto16.3
Teleop83.1
End17.1
blue by 3.1
4931
#31
120.75.8
104.4110.2
Auto13.1
Teleop93.5
End18.2
Third
4356
#25
116.62.7
103.5106.2
Auto18.5
Teleop91.3
End10.3
red by 8.8
5326
#45
107.92.6
105.7108.3
Auto16.6
Teleop82.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed