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Red271
1329115.2
4931120.7
3397163.4
Blue288
3792129.0
7255105.9
3284148.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281318150200250300350400450500271288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.41.9
152.7154.6
Auto17.8
Teleop119.3
End30.2
red by 15.4
3284
#11
148.02.4
139.2141.6
Auto17.4
Teleop113.3
End20.9
Second
4931
#31
120.75.0
110.2115.2
Auto13.1
Teleop93.5
End18.2
blue by 8.3
3792
#24
129.08.3
116.8125.1
Auto15.9
Teleop101.4
End13.6
Third
1329
#37
115.20.5
110.6111.1
Auto16.3
Teleop88.3
End11.1
red by 9.4
7255
#28
105.92.9
103.1105.9
Auto15.9
Teleop81.4
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed