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Qual 432018 St. Louis Regional
Red251
3197142.5
4187110.4
5583102.2
Blue412
1444134.7
4330117.6
5147115.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273261100200300400500251412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#6
142.52.6
116.5→119.0
Auto20.7
Teleop104.9
End21.1
red by 7.8
1444
#10
134.73.8
114.3→118.2
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2
Second
4187
#46
110.40.1
107.8→108.0
Auto16.3
Teleop79.7
End18.3
blue by 7.2
4330
#42
117.62.1
110.2→112.3
Auto16.3
Teleop83.1
End17.1
Third
5583
#49
102.21.2
102.3→103.4
Auto14.6
Teleop78.6
End5.9
blue by 13.0
5147
#21
115.20.8
101.9→102.7
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End24.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed