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Red294
5147115.2
4232114.1
3814132.7
Blue225
3692109.4
1208137.9
1329115.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251302100200400500294225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3814
#13
132.70.1
126.9126.8
Auto17.8
Teleop100.9
End14.6
blue by 5.2
1208
#18
137.92.0
133.1135.1
Auto17.1
Teleop108.1
End11.4
Second
5147
#21
115.23.3
102.7106.1
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End24.3
Level
1329
#37
115.20.9
111.1112.0
Auto16.3
Teleop88.3
End11.1
Third
4232
#43
114.11.6
108.5110.1
Auto15.7
Teleop87.3
End11.6
red by 4.6
3692
#36
109.43.7
101.5105.2
Auto15.6
Teleop81.5
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed