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Qual 522018 St. Louis Regional
Red317
4143148.7
7117114.7
1732153.8
Blue178
4256125.3
4330117.6
3330124.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334261100200300400500317178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#7
153.84.9
137.0→141.9
Auto24.9
Teleop110.9
End16.7
red by 28.4
4256
#35
125.30.1
132.2→132.2
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
Second
4143
#14
148.72.8
138.0→140.8
Auto20.9
Teleop111.7
End15.7
red by 24.6
3330
#16
124.14.5
114.4→118.9
Auto14.6
Teleop95.3
End17.0
Third
7117
#9
114.74.4
100.5→104.9
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
blue by 2.9
4330
#42
117.64.3
112.3→116.6
Auto16.3
Teleop83.1
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed