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Qual 662018 St. Louis Regional
Red296
4600114.9
3397163.4
3814132.7
Blue387
4329135.7
5836116.8
1732153.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318329100200400500600296387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#5
163.41.9
158.4→160.3
Auto17.8
Teleop119.3
End30.2
red by 9.6
1732
#7
153.83.4
145.5→148.9
Auto24.9
Teleop110.9
End16.7
Second
3814
#13
132.71.7
128.0→129.7
Auto17.8
Teleop100.9
End14.6
blue by 3.1
4329
#30
135.71.7
125.6→127.3
Auto15.3
Teleop102.5
End19.7
Third
4600
#44
114.91.9
116.6→114.7
Auto12.5
Teleop93.6
End9.9
blue by 1.9
5836
#17
116.83.6
109.6→113.2
Auto13.5
Teleop89.3
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed