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Red125
4256125.3
5176115.2
4931120.7
Blue362
5583102.2
4246112.5
2451168.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942790100200400500600700800125362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#35
125.30.6
130.9130.3
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
blue by 42.8
168.13.1
154.6157.7
Auto21.2
Teleop130.5
End20.4
Second
4931
#31
120.71.1
120.4121.5
Auto13.1
Teleop93.5
End18.2
red by 8.2
4246
#34
112.50.6
110.8111.4
Auto13.0
Teleop83.2
End17.2
Third
5176
#40
115.21.7
114.1115.9
Auto16.2
Teleop90.9
End7.5
red by 13.1
5583
#49
102.21.5
104.0102.5
Auto14.6
Teleop78.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed