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Qual 692018 St. Louis Regional
Red315
1178154.9
3197142.5
6660111.8
Blue334
3284148.0
3330124.1
2481176.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223780100300500600315334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1178
#2
154.93.6
139.5→143.0
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End26.7
blue by 21.5
2481
#1
176.43.1
167.2→170.3
Auto22.5
Teleop136.2
End20.5
Second
3197
#6
142.53.9
124.6→128.5
Auto20.7
Teleop104.9
End21.1
blue by 5.5
3284
#11
148.01.9
143.9→145.7
Auto17.4
Teleop113.3
End20.9
Third
6660
#38
111.80.6
106.3→106.9
Auto12.8
Teleop88.5
End11.6
blue by 12.3
3330
#16
124.11.5
120.3→121.8
Auto14.6
Teleop95.3
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed