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Red396
1094117.8
4329135.7
931124.4
Blue197
4232114.1
3792129.0
4187110.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295288150200250350400450396197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#30
135.72.6
127.3129.8
Auto15.3
Teleop102.5
End19.7
red by 6.8
3792
#24
129.00.2
130.7130.5
Auto15.9
Teleop101.4
End13.6
Second
931
#22
124.40.0
121.4121.4
Auto14.4
Teleop97.8
End16.7
red by 10.4
4232
#43
114.11.9
112.2114.1
Auto15.7
Teleop87.3
End11.6
Third
1094
#27
117.82.7
120.1117.5
Auto20.0
Teleop86.5
End11.5
red by 7.4
4187
#46
110.40.0
111.6111.6
Auto16.3
Teleop79.7
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed