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Qual 782018 St. Louis Regional
Red413
7117114.7
3197142.5
4356116.6
Blue178
1094117.8
2783130.4
7255105.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2872570100200400500600413178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#6
142.54.2
128.5→132.7
Auto20.7
Teleop104.9
End21.1
red by 12.1
2783
#19
130.42.5
127.3→129.9
Auto15.2
Teleop101.6
End13.5
Second
4356
#25
116.60.5
113.1→113.7
Auto18.5
Teleop91.3
End10.3
blue by 1.1
1094
#27
117.80.3
117.5→117.8
Auto20.0
Teleop86.5
End11.5
Third
7117
#9
114.71.3
111.5→112.8
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
red by 8.8
7255
#28
105.90.6
105.3→105.9
Auto15.9
Teleop81.4
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed