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Qual 792018 St. Louis Regional
Red506
3397163.4
4143148.7
2481176.4
Blue117
4500120.9
5583102.2
2081151.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242240100300500600506117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
176.42.0
170.3→172.2
Auto22.5
Teleop136.2
End20.5
red by 25.3
2081
#8
151.13.6
146.7→150.3
Auto20.0
Teleop117.4
End12.5
Second
3397
#5
163.41.8
160.3→162.2
Auto17.8
Teleop119.3
End30.2
red by 42.5
4500
#29
120.91.0
119.9→120.9
Auto16.0
Teleop94.2
End7.5
Third
4143
#14
148.71.0
146.8→147.8
Auto20.9
Teleop111.7
End15.7
red by 46.5
5583
#49
102.20.3
102.5→102.2
Auto14.6
Teleop78.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed