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Red341
225222.1
2590244.6
2016149.3
Blue382
1640191.4
25211.2
1089154.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4313300100200500600700341382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244.60.1
244.3244.5
Auto23.6
Teleop173.6
End45.5
red by 33.4
25
#2
211.20.3
210.4210.7
Auto24.8
Teleop166.3
End19.8
Second
225
#9
222.10.3
223.1222.8
Auto25.9
Teleop168.4
End25.9
red by 30.7
1640
#20
191.40.0
191.3191.4
Auto20.9
Teleop146.3
End23.3
Third
2016
#34
149.30.2
150.1149.8
Auto22.9
Teleop110.9
End13.9
blue by 4.6
1089
#45
154.00.1
153.6153.7
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0