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Red456
225222.1
2590244.6
2016149.3
Blue190
1640191.4
25211.2
1089154.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425335100200300500600700456190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244.60.0
244.5244.5
Auto23.6
Teleop173.6
End45.5
red by 33.4
25
#2
211.20.3
210.7211.0
Auto24.8
Teleop166.3
End19.8
Second
225
#9
222.10.4
222.8222.4
Auto25.9
Teleop168.4
End25.9
red by 30.7
1640
#20
191.40.1
191.4191.5
Auto20.9
Teleop146.3
End23.3
Third
2016
#34
149.30.3
149.8149.5
Auto22.9
Teleop110.9
End13.9
blue by 4.6
1089
#45
154.00.2
153.7153.9
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0