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Red449
225222.1
2590244.6
2016149.3
Blue269
1640191.4
25211.2
1089154.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions430327100200300400500600700449269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244.60.1
244.5244.6
Auto23.6
Teleop173.6
End45.5
red by 33.4
25
#2
211.20.2
211.0211.2
Auto24.8
Teleop166.3
End19.8
Second
225
#9
222.10.3
222.4222.1
Auto25.9
Teleop168.4
End25.9
red by 30.7
1640
#20
191.40.0
191.5191.4
Auto20.9
Teleop146.3
End23.3
Third
2016
#34
149.30.2
149.5149.3
Auto22.9
Teleop110.9
End13.9
blue by 4.6
1089
#45
154.00.0
153.9154.0
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0