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Red410
225222.1
2590244.6
2016149.3
Blue173
316187.7
2729142.4
5895169.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4682750100200400500600700410173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244.60.4
243.3243.6
Auto23.6
Teleop173.6
End45.5
red by 56.9
316
#30
187.70.0
187.8187.8
Auto18.0
Teleop146.9
End24.0
Second
225
#9
222.10.2
224.1223.9
Auto25.9
Teleop168.4
End25.9
red by 53.1
5895
#17
169.10.2
168.7169.0
Auto22.6
Teleop125.4
End18.5
Third
2016
#34
149.30.1
150.7150.6
Auto22.9
Teleop110.9
End13.9
red by 6.9
2729
#11
142.40.1
142.3142.4
Auto25.0
Teleop100.5
End17.9