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Red323
223165.3
1218181.8
365196.9
Blue368
6945120.8
1712170.5
1923185.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423294100200500600700323368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#6
196.90.9
195.7196.6
Auto24.6
Teleop147.8
End23.7
red by 11.8
1923
#15
185.10.0
184.8184.7
Auto23.9
Teleop143.7
End17.9
Second
1218
#13
181.80.2
181.7181.9
Auto20.9
Teleop133.7
End27.5
red by 11.3
170.50.1
169.9169.8
Auto21.4
Teleop131.6
End14.6
Third
223
#52
165.30.1
165.4165.3
Auto18.3
Teleop119.5
End26.3
red by 44.6
6945
#32
120.80.6
120.2120.8
Auto14.1
Teleop93.9
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed