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Red177
293141.7
4653164.6
1168113.0
Blue462
1712170.5
5895169.1
225222.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2084680100300400500600700177462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#44
164.60.8
166.7166.0
Auto19.5
Teleop124.4
End19.3
blue by 57.5
225
#9
222.11.0
226.4225.3
Auto25.9
Teleop168.4
End25.9
Second
293
#56
141.70.0
142.5142.5
Auto17.1
Teleop110.9
End13.9
blue by 28.8
170.50.3
169.6169.9
Auto21.4
Teleop131.6
End14.6
Third
1168
#53
113.00.1
113.9113.8
Auto17.2
Teleop83.5
End13.7
blue by 56.0
5895
#17
169.11.2
166.9168.1
Auto22.6
Teleop125.4
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed