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Red326
1143129.1
1089154.0
5407166.5
Blue430
747159.1
2729142.4
1218181.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313377100200500600326430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5407
#29
166.50.4
165.9166.3
Auto16.9
Teleop118.2
End30.9
blue by 15.4
1218
#13
181.80.7
182.3181.7
Auto20.9
Teleop133.7
End27.5
Second
1089
#45
154.00.5
151.9152.4
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0
blue by 5.1
747
#18
159.10.6
155.5156.2
Auto20.0
Teleop120.1
End22.5
Third
1143
#41
129.10.2
129.3129.1
Auto18.5
Teleop97.5
End14.1
blue by 13.3
2729
#11
142.41.4
144.1142.7
Auto25.0
Teleop100.5
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsEarned