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Red318
3142137.5
1640191.4
203142.7
Blue169
1676161.6
1089154.0
834181.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342352200250300400450500318169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#20
191.40.4
192.4192.0
Auto20.9
Teleop146.3
End23.3
red by 9.5
834
#49
181.90.7
183.3184.0
Auto20.6
Teleop136.8
End25.6
Second
203
#57
142.70.7
151.9151.2
Auto15.3
Teleop112.8
End12.7
blue by 18.9
1676
#14
161.60.9
150.8151.7
Auto19.3
Teleop118.3
End23.7
Third
3142
#12
137.50.5
139.3139.9
Auto15.9
Teleop103.4
End21.3
blue by 16.5
1089
#45
154.00.5
149.4149.9
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed