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Red289
2016149.3
6860107.1
3637165.8
Blue437
56200.2
2590244.6
1143129.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241480100200300400600700800289437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#31
165.80.3
160.8161.2
Auto18.8
Teleop126.3
End22.3
blue by 78.8
244.60.5
236.4236.9
Auto23.6
Teleop173.6
End45.5
Second
2016
#34
149.30.5
156.6156.1
Auto22.9
Teleop110.9
End13.9
blue by 50.9
56
#3
200.20.5
194.3194.8
Auto26.2
Teleop141.9
End33.8
Third
6860
#33
107.10.1
99.098.9
Auto17.2
Teleop78.8
End10.0
blue by 22.0
1143
#41
129.10.3
129.3129.0
Auto18.5
Teleop97.5
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed90%Face the Boss oddsEarned