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Red396
4361155.1
1712170.5
5420161.1
Blue296
433158.3
316187.7
2729142.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316346100200400500600396296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.50.4
160.5160.9
Auto21.4
Teleop131.6
End14.6
blue by 17.2
316
#30
187.70.3
178.7179.1
Auto18.0
Teleop146.9
End24.0
Second
5420
#46
161.10.3
156.0155.7
Auto18.9
Teleop120.8
End22.4
red by 2.8
433
#47
158.30.1
156.7156.8
Auto20.3
Teleop114.9
End20.9
Third
4361
#16
155.10.1
145.4145.3
Auto19.5
Teleop119.7
End16.2
red by 12.7
2729
#11
142.41.2
149.3148.1
Auto25.0
Teleop100.5
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed