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Red408
1168113.0
2590244.6
1676161.6
Blue324
272156.7
3929153.4
4653164.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397311100200500600408324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244.60.7
237.5238.2
Auto23.6
Teleop173.6
End45.5
red by 80.0
4653
#44
164.60.6
161.0161.6
Auto19.5
Teleop124.4
End19.3
Second
1676
#14
161.60.3
151.2151.0
Auto19.3
Teleop118.3
End23.7
red by 4.9
272
#40
156.70.4
154.8154.4
Auto20.7
Teleop103.9
End29.6
Third
1168
#53
113.00.7
112.0111.3
Auto17.2
Teleop83.5
End13.7
blue by 40.3
3929
#23
153.41.1
154.6153.6
Auto18.3
Teleop120.2
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
87%Face the Boss oddsEarned17%Face the Boss oddsEarned