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Red380
2607163.4
4361155.1
11128.1
Blue217
293141.7
4342175.6
41139.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330345200250300400450500380217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#28
163.40.8
168.7167.9
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End28.4
blue by 12.2
4342
#24
175.60.2
177.5177.7
Auto26.7
Teleop119.5
End30.4
Second
4361
#16
155.11.3
146.1147.4
Auto19.5
Teleop119.7
End16.2
red by 13.4
293
#56
141.70.2
147.6147.4
Auto17.1
Teleop110.9
End13.9
Third
11
#51
128.11.2
132.4131.2
Auto16.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
blue by 11.6
41
#25
139.71.1
133.2134.3
Auto18.4
Teleop104.4
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed