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Red262
6945120.8
4653164.6
5992124.1
Blue319
1391171.8
321142.4
5420161.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283398100200500600700262319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#44
164.60.9
161.6162.5
Auto19.5
Teleop124.4
End19.3
blue by 7.1
171.81.4
161.2162.6
Auto21.6
Teleop122.7
End28.7
Second
5992
#50
124.10.6
124.5123.9
Auto16.5
Teleop89.7
End18.4
blue by 37.0
5420
#46
161.10.3
156.4156.7
Auto18.9
Teleop120.8
End22.4
Third
6945
#32
120.80.5
115.6115.1
Auto14.1
Teleop93.9
End15.6
blue by 21.6
321
#35
142.40.5
133.7134.3
Auto17.1
Teleop103.2
End24.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed