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Red450
2590244.6
3314180.9
2729142.4
Blue259
365196.9
219144.4
11128.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443273100200400500600450259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244.60.9
238.2239.1
Auto23.6
Teleop173.6
End45.5
red by 47.7
365
#6
196.91.3
186.3187.6
Auto24.6
Teleop147.8
End23.7
Second
180.91.0
180.5179.5
Auto23.9
Teleop125.4
End32.1
red by 36.5
219
#27
144.40.8
142.8143.6
Auto22.5
Teleop107.6
End13.7
Third
2729
#11
142.40.0
146.1146.0
Auto25.0
Teleop100.5
End17.9
red by 14.3
11
#51
128.10.4
131.2130.9
Auto16.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
98%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed