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Red184
3929153.4
747159.1
1807151.1
Blue413
5895169.1
3142137.5
316187.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293381100200500600184413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
747
#18
159.11.1
160.5159.4
Auto20.0
Teleop120.1
End22.5
blue by 28.6
316
#30
187.71.0
179.8180.8
Auto18.0
Teleop146.9
End24.0
Second
3929
#23
153.40.5
153.6153.1
Auto18.3
Teleop120.2
End17.3
blue by 15.7
5895
#17
169.10.4
161.1161.5
Auto22.6
Teleop125.4
End18.5
Third
1807
#42
151.10.0
153.7153.7
Auto18.6
Teleop114.4
End15.7
red by 13.6
3142
#12
137.50.8
139.2138.5
Auto15.9
Teleop103.4
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed