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Red388
303196.9
5407166.5
1676161.6
Blue190
2607163.4
1923185.1
222177.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354396200250300450500550600388190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#10
196.90.1
200.9200.7
Auto23.6
Teleop142.4
End31.3
red by 11.8
1923
#15
185.10.1
191.8191.7
Auto23.9
Teleop143.7
End17.9
Second
5407
#29
166.50.7
168.3167.6
Auto16.9
Teleop118.2
End30.9
blue by 11.3
222
#38
177.80.5
185.1185.6
Auto23.8
Teleop132.0
End22.6
Third
1676
#14
161.60.1
151.0151.1
Auto19.3
Teleop118.3
End23.7
blue by 1.8
2607
#28
163.40.0
167.9167.9
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End28.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
76%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed