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Red328
75153.8
1257146.7
1218181.8
Blue415
102137.9
1168113.0
25211.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361281100200400500600328415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#13
181.80.6
183.5182.8
Auto20.9
Teleop133.7
End27.5
blue by 29.3
25
#2
211.20.7
201.9201.2
Auto24.8
Teleop166.3
End19.8
Second
75
#19
153.80.6
149.0148.4
Auto21.9
Teleop113.7
End18.5
red by 15.9
102
#36
137.90.0
128.1128.0
Auto18.0
Teleop104.8
End17.1
Third
1257
#54
146.70.9
151.3150.4
Auto18.4
Teleop113.4
End14.9
red by 33.6
1168
#53
113.00.3
111.3111.0
Auto17.2
Teleop83.5
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed