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Red294
41139.7
834181.9
2539144.7
Blue379
103154.7
2016149.3
272156.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361337200300400500600294379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#49
181.90.6
182.6182.0
Auto20.6
Teleop136.8
End25.6
red by 25.3
272
#40
156.70.0
154.4154.4
Auto20.7
Teleop103.9
End29.6
Second
2539
#21
144.71.1
145.5146.7
Auto18.3
Teleop104.4
End21.7
blue by 10.0
103
#39
154.71.1
151.5152.6
Auto17.6
Teleop127.0
End10.5
Third
41
#25
139.70.2
134.3134.4
Auto18.4
Teleop104.4
End20.9
blue by 9.6
2016
#34
149.30.7
156.2155.5
Auto22.9
Teleop110.9
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed