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Red344
1712170.5
303196.9
747159.1
Blue327
5992124.1
2590244.6
4361155.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366372320340380400420440344327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#10
196.90.0
200.7200.8
Auto23.6
Teleop142.4
End31.3
blue by 47.7
244.60.9
239.1240.0
Auto23.6
Teleop173.6
End45.5
Second
170.51.0
165.7166.7
Auto21.4
Teleop131.6
End14.6
red by 15.4
4361
#16
155.11.8
149.1150.9
Auto19.5
Teleop119.7
End16.2
Third
747
#18
159.11.7
159.4157.7
Auto20.0
Teleop120.1
End22.5
red by 35.0
5992
#50
124.10.5
123.9123.3
Auto16.5
Teleop89.7
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed70%Face the Boss oddsEarned