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Red433
316187.7
1218181.8
6860107.1
Blue293
4653164.6
11128.1
2495126.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381257100200300500600433293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#30
187.71.4
180.8182.2
Auto18.0
Teleop146.9
End24.0
red by 23.1
4653
#44
164.60.6
162.5163.1
Auto19.5
Teleop124.4
End19.3
Second
1218
#13
181.80.3
182.8182.6
Auto20.9
Teleop133.7
End27.5
red by 53.8
11
#51
128.10.6
130.9130.3
Auto16.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
Third
6860
#33
107.10.9
100.0100.9
Auto17.2
Teleop78.8
End10.0
blue by 19.3
2495
#37
126.40.7
125.0125.7
Auto15.7
Teleop94.8
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed