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Red423
222177.8
1403132.5
5895169.1
Blue233
2016149.3
2539144.7
6203139.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399304100200500600423233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#38
177.81.5
185.6184.1
Auto23.8
Teleop132.0
End22.6
red by 28.5
2016
#34
149.30.1
155.5155.4
Auto22.9
Teleop110.9
End13.9
Second
5895
#17
169.10.9
161.5162.4
Auto22.6
Teleop125.4
End18.5
red by 24.3
2539
#21
144.70.7
146.7147.4
Auto18.3
Teleop104.4
End21.7
Third
1403
#58
132.50.1
133.7133.6
Auto20.2
Teleop103.4
End9.7
blue by 6.7
6203
#59
139.20.1
139.9139.7
Auto15.3
Teleop103.8
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed