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Red399
1257146.7
3929153.4
3637165.8
Blue190
103154.7
708165.5
293141.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320348150200250300400450500399190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#31
165.80.1
163.3163.2
Auto18.8
Teleop126.3
End22.3
red by 0.3
708
#26
165.50.3
169.5169.2
Auto20.2
Teleop122.7
End22.0
Second
3929
#23
153.41.2
153.1151.8
Auto18.3
Teleop120.2
End17.3
blue by 1.3
103
#39
154.71.4
152.6154.0
Auto17.6
Teleop127.0
End10.5
Third
1257
#54
146.70.5
150.4149.8
Auto18.4
Teleop113.4
End14.9
red by 5.0
293
#56
141.70.2
146.6146.4
Auto17.1
Teleop110.9
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed