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Red233
1257146.7
1143129.1
103154.7
Blue397
4653164.6
75153.8
1923185.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295375100200400500600233397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#39
154.70.2
154.0153.7
Auto17.6
Teleop127.0
End10.5
blue by 30.4
1923
#15
185.11.7
189.6187.9
Auto23.9
Teleop143.7
End17.9
Second
1257
#54
146.70.4
149.8150.2
Auto18.4
Teleop113.4
End14.9
blue by 17.9
4653
#44
164.60.9
163.1164.0
Auto19.5
Teleop124.4
End19.3
Third
1143
#41
129.10.4
128.1128.4
Auto18.5
Teleop97.5
End14.1
blue by 24.7
75
#19
153.80.3
148.1148.4
Auto21.9
Teleop113.7
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed