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Red353
203142.7
2607163.4
225222.1
Blue431
2180140.4
2590244.6
102137.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3783350100200500600700800353431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#9
222.10.1
229.6229.5
Auto25.9
Teleop168.4
End25.9
blue by 22.5
244.60.5
240.0240.5
Auto23.6
Teleop173.6
End45.5
Second
2607
#28
163.40.9
165.9165.1
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End28.4
red by 23.0
2180
#22
140.40.1
142.5142.3
Auto18.4
Teleop108.1
End14.6
Third
203
#57
142.70.8
145.7144.9
Auto15.3
Teleop112.8
End12.7
red by 4.8
102
#36
137.91.2
128.9130.1
Auto18.0
Teleop104.8
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed77%Face the Boss oddsEarned